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U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc (^USDCHF)

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U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Rebounds Ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s Testimony on Tuesday

The dollar index (DXY00) Monday recovered from a 3-week low and finished up by +0.12%.  Short covering in the dollar Monday propelled prices higher ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s semiannual testimony to Congress on Tuesday.  Also, the US May consumer credit report was stronger than expected and supported the dollar.

US May consumer credit rose +$11.354 billion, stronger than expectations of +$8.850 billion and the largest increase in 4 months.

The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 6% for the July 30-31 FOMC meeting 

and 72% for the following meeting on Sep 17-18.

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) on Monday fell back from a 3-1/2 week high and finished down by -0.16%.  The euro came under pressure Monday on economic news that showed the Eurozone July Sentix investor confidence index fell more than expected to a 4-month low and weaker-than-expected German trade news for May.

On Monday, the euro initially moved higher due to reduced political tensi... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 2, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
18,997 (+359)
75,431 (+7,462)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
49,622 (+8,059)
6,179 (-327)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
1,810 (-200)
58,719 (+10,370)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
43,163 (+6,829)
18,039 (-1,376)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
22,226 (+1,733)
3,965 (-1,477)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
973 (unch)
440 (-438)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
0.88269 +1.68%
on 06/18/24
0.90506 -0.83%
on 07/03/24
+0.00104 (+0.12%)
since 06/07/24
3-Month
0.88269 +1.68%
on 06/18/24
0.92241 -2.70%
on 05/01/24
-0.00603 (-0.67%)
since 04/09/24
52-Week
0.83327 +7.71%
on 12/28/23
0.92442 -2.91%
on 10/03/23
+0.00872 (+0.98%)
since 07/07/23

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^EURUSD : 1.08228 (-0.01%)
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Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis Looking for $USDCHF to Correct in Wave (2)

Short Term Elliott Wave in (USDCHF) suggests pair ended the move down from 5.1.2024 high as wave (1) at 0.882. Wave (2) corrective rally is now in progress to correct cycle from 5.1.2024 high.

^USDCHF : 0.89757 (-0.01%)
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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 0.90205
2nd Resistance Point 0.89987
1st Resistance Point 0.89875
Last Price 0.89751
1st Support Level 0.89545
2nd Support Level 0.89327
3rd Support Level 0.89215

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52-Week High 0.92442
Last Price 0.89751
Fibonacci 61.8% 0.88960
Fibonacci 50% 0.87884
Fibonacci 38.2% 0.86809
52-Week Low 0.83327

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